Nasdaq Futures / NQ – Forecast for 14 April 2025
Price action and bearish time cycle forecasts are diverging.
We continue to be in a bearish time cycle that started on 29 March 2025 and indicates a weakening around 17 April 2025.
Last Friday, we had a strong bearish view on NQ. And that view royally failed and NQ ended up closing higher. The bearish sentiment was weak in the beginning, and thereafter, it just failed. We went into "cautious mode" with the bearish view after the drop in the first hour was quickly bought into.
Failure was an example of "price action" not matching "time cycle forecast"
Today's time cycle suggests a bearish sentiment, too. We also had bearish effects from the weekend's time cycle, and those are likely to spill over into Monday. If there was a pending bearish sentiment from Friday, too, all of that indicates a super-strong bearish sentiment today. BUT - Will it occur?
At the time of writing this, NQ is hovering around 19200 levels. It does not show any signs of bearishness in any way. We are at a resistance zone, but that does not indicate bearishness.
I would be cautious on either side today. Any adverse news events or a tweet could lead into a massive crash in NQ.
The bearish sentiment will weaken from tomorrow, but that does not indicate bullishness.
Today's opening trade bias. (9.30 am)
The time cycle suggests a bullish sentiment around 9.26-9.29 am (pre-open). NQ is expected to exhibit bullish behavior for the first 9 minutes and thereafter some bearishness might kick in.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is purely educational, analytical, and represents my personal market analysis and trading plan. It should NOT be interpreted as trading advice, actionable signals, or recommendations. Trading involves substantial risk of financial loss. Always perform your own analysis and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
High probability events and timings
These are high probability event timings. Expect sudden movements during these timeframes.
The Bullish or Bearish indication should be considered in confluence with price action and appropriate trade locations. A Bullish signal in a short-term price downtrend may not yield better results.
Always use a stop loss and manage risk.
Use these signals in confluence with price action.
Always enter at an appropriate trade location. Do not chase the price
(All times below are in US/Eastern or New York time)
09:16 to 09:20 ↓ Bearish
09:43 to 09:48 ↓ Bearish
09:50 to 09:54 ↑ Bullish
09:54 to 09:58 ↓ Bearish
10:00 to 10:04 ↓ Bearish
10:04 to 10:10 ↑ Bullish
10:17 to 10:21 ↓ Bearish
10:38 to 10:42 ↓ Bearish
10:42 to 10:47 ↑ Bullish
10:56 to 11:02 ↓ Bearish
11:32 to 11:39 ↑ Bullish
11:44 to 11:48 ↑ Bullish
12:43 to 12:48 ↓ Bearish
13:18 to 13:23 ↓ Bearish
13:25 to 13:29 ↑ Bullish
13:32 to 13:36 ↑ Bullish
14:00 to 14:07 ↑ Bullish
14:13 to 14:18 ↑ Bullish
15:14 to 15:19 ↓ Bearish
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is purely educational, analytical, and represents my personal market analysis and trading plan. It should NOT be interpreted as trading advice, actionable signals, or recommendations. Trading involves substantial risk of financial loss. Always perform your own analysis and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
