Nasdaq Futures / NQ – Forecast for 16 April 2025

The sentiment is expected to turn back to bearish today. We might see some high volatility—both bullish and bearish moves—but ultimately, the sentiment is expected to turn bearish. We continue to be in a bearish time cycle that started on 29 March 2025 and indicates a weakening around 17 April 2025.

Yesterday, we expected a bullish sentiment at the beginning of the day, followed by mild bearishness, and it worked out as expected. In the end, NQ lost its gains just as forecasted. The intraday sentiment timings for the bearish forecast worked better than the ones with bullish sentiment timings. It is a reminder that these intraday time-cycle-based sentiments must be used in confluence with price action.

Today's time cycle suggests a bearish sentiment for NQ. We might see some uncertain direction at the beginning of the day, which is later expected to turn into a bearish direction overall.

At the time of writing this, NQ has already dipped 200 points and is hovering around 18700. It has touched 18500 levels and has come back up again. Based on the time cycle forecast, these lower levels could be tested again today, and NQ might go lower. However, exercise caution; it might fill the opening gap too towards 18950 levels before doing so - the bearish sentiment is expected to grow stronger as the day passes.

We are approaching the end of the larger bearish time cycle, and a weakening of the bears is expected. However, that does not mean strengthening bullish sentiment just yet.

Today's opening trade bias. (9.30 am)

We could see a top formed 1 hour before opening at 8.32 am (pre-open), and later, a bullish move may start again around 12 minutes to pre-open at 9.18-9.19 am, lasting until 9.30-9.33 am.

At 9.30 a.m., the opening sentiment looks mildly bearish. It turns bullish for a couple of minutes, and then bearish momentum is expected to strengthen around 9.33 a.m. Wait for a good resistance level before expecting a bearish move.

NOTE: My interpretations of the time cycles for the first 15 minutes from the open show a lack of confidence in any directional bias. However, the bias remains bearish.

Around 2.27 pm—2.29 pm Eastern Time, the time cycles indicate an odd spike. It does not indicate bullish or bearish behavior; it could be nothing. Just be careful around those 3-5 minutes.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is purely educational and analytical and represents my personal market analysis and trading plan. It should NOT be interpreted as trading advice, actionable signals, or recommendations. Trading involves a substantial risk of financial loss. Always perform your analysis and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.

High probability events and timings

These are high-probability event timings. Expect sudden movements during these timeframes.

The Bullish or Bearish indication should be considered in confluence with price action and appropriate trade locations. A Bullish signal in a short-term price downtrend may not yield better results.

Always use a stop loss and manage risk.
Use these signals in confluence with price action.
Always enter at an appropriate trade location. Do not chase the price

(All times below are in US/Eastern or New York time)

09:04 to 09:08 ↑ Bullish

09:54 to 09:58 ↓ Bearish

09:58 to 10:03 ↑ Bullish

10:22 to 10:26 ↓ Bearish

10:26 to 10:30 ↑ Bullish
10:38 to 10:42 ↑ Bullish

10:50 to 10:54 ↓ Bearish

11:10 to 11:14 ↑ Bullish
11:36 to 11:40 ↑ Bullish

11:43 to 11:47 ↓ Bearish

12:24 to 12:28 ↑ Bullish
12:32 to 12:36 ↑ Bullish
13:03 to 13:07 ↑ Bullish
13:15 to 13:21 ↑ Bullish

15:14 to 15:18 ↓ Bearish

15:26 to 15:31 ↑ Bullish

15:57 to 16:02 ↓ Bearish

16:10 to 16:16 ↑ Bullish

⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is purely educational, analytical, and represents my personal market analysis and trading plan. It should NOT be interpreted as trading advice, actionable signals, or recommendations. Trading involves substantial risk of financial loss. Always perform your own analysis and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.